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This year (2025), China's GDP may grow by only 2.5 to 3 percent, according to international think tank Rhodium Group. China is expecting a GDP growth of 5 percent this year. However, this may not be possible, the organization says. It also says that China's economic growth may only grow by 1 to 2.5 percent next year. What China says is different, but the reality is different? China's economic growth in 2025 New Delhi, December 23: China, which is expecting a 5 percent economic growth, may be disappointed this year. According to an estimate made by the think tank Rhodium Group, China's GDP may grow by only 2.5 to 3 percent in 2025. Rhodium Group believes that economic growth may have slowed down due to a decline in fixed asset investment in China in the second half of this year. India's fiscal year is from April to March. However, for many countries like China and the US, the calendar year is also the fiscal year. That is, a fiscal year from January to December. The Chinese government had set a target of 5% economic growth for 2025. The government is likely to announce that its exports are thriving despite the US tariffs and economic growth is at the expected level. However, Rhodium Group has ruled out the possibility of this growth. Rhodium Group has proposed several reasons to justify its estimate. First, China is not experiencing inflation, but deflation for ten consecutive quarters. It seems that no country has experienced such deflation and yet experienced 5% economic growth. The second reason is the slowdown in fixed asset investment. Fixed asset investment is investment in non-resaleable assets such as roads, railways, housing, building construction, factories, machinery, etc. In 2025, investment in it increased by 4.2 percent from January to June. However, investment from July to October fell by 12.2 percent. Rhodium Group believes that this will have a negative impact on GDP growth. China's GDP rate in 2026 is only 1 percent? Rhodium Group, which says that China is making wrong calculations about its economic growth, says that its GDP growth next year (2026) may only be 1 percent to 2.5 percent. According to the IMF, China's economy may grow by 4.5 percent in 2026. However, Rhodium Group is painting a different picture.